Strategic underutilization of the Annual Procurement Plan as a tool for preventive management of contractual risks
Keywords:
contract planning, contractual risks, preventive managementAbstract
Introduction: This study addressed the problem of the strategic underutilization of the Annual Procurement Plan in Ecuadorian public administration, evidenced by its use as a regulatory compliance instrument without the effective integration of preventative analysis, which contributes to the generation of contractual risks. The general objective was to analyze the influence of the underutilization of the Annual Procurement Plan on the recurrence of financial, legal, and operational risks in public procurement. Materials and methods: The methodology adopted a quantitative approach, with a descriptive-correlational scope and a non-experimental, cross-sectional design. Theoretical methods such as analysis, synthesis, induction, and deduction were employed, along with empirical methods based on a structured survey administered to twenty-five public procurement analysts using a Likert-type scale. Results: Data processing was carried out using descriptive and inferential statistics, employing Spearman's rank correlation coefficient to test the hypotheses. The main finding revealed an extremely high positive correlation between the strategic underutilization of the Annual Procurement Plan and the recurrence of contractual risks, with a coefficient of 0.976 and statistical significance. Discussion: This finding confirmed that planning focused on formal compliance, without strategic integration or a preventive approach, is associated with the recurrence of financial, legal, and operational contingencies during contract execution. Conclusions: The study concluded that contract planning is a determining factor in institutional performance. Therefore, it is necessary to incorporate preventive management criteria into the Annual Procurement Plan to strengthen stability, efficiency, and governance in public procurement.
References
Benavides, J. L. (2025). Contratación estratégica. Un cambio en la concepción de las compras públicas. Revista Digital de Derecho Administrativo, (34), 9–41. https://doi.org/10.18601/21452946.n34.02
Björnsdottir, S. H., Jensson, P., Thorsteinsson, S. E., Dokas, I. M., & De Boer, R. J. (2022). Evaluación comparativa de los sistemas de gestión de riesgos ISO para evaluar la eficacia y ayudar a identificar riesgos organizacionales ocultos. Sustainability, 14(9), 4937. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14094937
Changalima, I. A., & Mdee, A. E. (2023). Procurement skills and procurement performance in public organizations: The mediating role of procurement planning. Cogent Business & Management, 10(1), 2163562. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2022.2163562
Changalima, I. A., Mushi, G. O., & Mwaiseje, S. S. (2021). Procurement planning as a strategic tool for public procurement effectiveness. Journal of Public Procurement, 21(1), 37–52. https://doi.org/10.1108/JOPP-05-2020-0047
Chicaiza Barahona, D. V., & Carriel Núñez, W. A. (2025). Evolución de los procesos de compras públicas en Ecuador durante los periodos 2007–2025. Código Científico Revista de Investigación, 6(E2), 347–376. https://doi.org/10.55813/gaea/ccri/v6/nE2/1032
Doucet, M. S., & Doucet, T. A. (2003). Control y auditoría. En Encyclopedia of Information Systems (pp. 287–305). Elsevier.
Faz Cevallos, W. E., Fuentes Gavilanez, L. E., Hidalgo Mayorga, M., & Guerrero Arrieta, K. G. (2023). Government procurement in Ecuador: Analysis and perspective. Universidad Ciencia y Tecnología, 27(119), 127–136.
Hernández, R., Fernández, C., & Baptista, P. (2014). Metodología de la investigación (6ª ed.). McGraw-Hill.
ISO ORG. (2018). ISO 31000:2018 Risk management guidelines. https://www.iso.org/standard/65694.html
Larrea Valencia, J., & Neira Medina, J. (2025). Reflexiones de contratación pública. Procuraduría General del Estado del Ecuador.
Mata Zamores, M., et al. (2023). Desempeño de las compras públicas y planificación institucional en contextos administrativos.
Mora Navarro, J. (2022). Gestión de riesgos en la administración pública y gobernanza institucional.
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. (2016). Preventing corruption in public procurement. OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264251767-en
Palomino Flores, J. (2022). Planificación administrativa y eficiencia en la gestión pública.
Pérez Herrera, L. (2020). Fundamentos de la planificación administrativa en el sector público.
Piguabe Baque, L., & Rodríguez Bravo, J. (2025). Control interno y eficiencia en la contratación pública ecuatoriana.
Saltos Navarrete, M., & Mantuano Zambrano, J. (2023). Gobernanza, transparencia y participación en la contratación pública ecuatoriana.
Sarmiento, J. (2016). Riesgos contractuales en la gestión pública.
Servicio Nacional de Contratación Pública. (2022). Normativa del Sistema Nacional de Contratación Pública. https://www.compraspublicas.gob.ec
Servicio Nacional de Contratación Pública. (2024). Lineamientos y actualización del Plan Anual de Contratación. https://www.compraspublicas.gob.ec
Ubillus García, R., & Amancha Chiluisa, D. (2024). Relación entre planificación contractual y ejecución presupuestaria en entidades públicas ecuatorianas.
Vaicilla González, R., et al. (2020). Planificación estratégica y gobernanza en la gestión pública latinoamericana.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Darwin Jesús Benavides Villacis , Geovanny Patricio Villegas Solano, Willian Paul Avilés Quiñonez, Noel Batista Hernández

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
This journal provides immediate open access to its content, based on the principle that offering the public free access to research helps a greater global exchange of knowledge. Each author is responsible for the content of each of their articles.






















Universidad de Oriente